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0x234
0x2375550d3b98ce364476c81f663a0b878cb0691f
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 48% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 48%Verified PnL#599 of 1156
Beats 20%30-day PnL#645 of 812
Beats 79%Win rate#194 of 963
Beats 72%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#278 of 1000
Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board34
Archive span207 days
First seen2026-04-01
Last seen2026-09-24
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$29K
Verified lifetime PnL
$1.49MVolume
83.2%Win rate (sample) · n=398
1.98%PnL ÷ Volume
-$91530-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$29.4K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $439only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$19partial
Liquidity rewards$1
1.98% ROI39.7% Win rate · n=834
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$23.7K · loses the most in Finance -$3,832
Top 5 winning markets
- +$9,460Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?Culture · No
- +$5,708Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Politics · Yes
- +$2,908Will Trump say "China" during the State of the Union address?Politics · No
- +$2,489Will Trump say "Economy" or "Economic" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?Politics · No
- +$2,292Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)Politics · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$8,860Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Politics · Yes / No
- -$4,662Will FedEx say "Truck" during earnings call?Finance · No
- -$1,656Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Politics · Yes / No
- -$1,568Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Politics · No / Yes
- -$1,506Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Politics · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 436 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$30.2K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$29KVerified lifetime PnL
$18KEarned off the board
34Days on board
$11KBoard-day sum
—7-day PnL
-$91530-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 2 | $1K |
| 2026-05 | 6 | $2K |
| 2026-06 | 8 | $3K |
| 2026-07 | 2 | $110 |
| 2026-08 | 4 | $346 |
| 2026-09 | 12 | $5K |
Which boards
Mentions 25Politics 5Culture 4
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
0% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $19 (0% maker / 100% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
aggressive (taker)
Passive ratio0%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-24
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$19
Maker rebate$0
Taker rebate$19
Maker share0%
Taker share100%
Window2026-06-23 → 2026-09-25
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$11K
Verified lifetime PnL$29K
Verification gap$18K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)