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0x23c46463c281deb26a041fdcc24ae9c5d7629c42
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 33% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 33%Verified PnL#417 of 624
Beats 34%30-day PnL#387 of 594
Beats 96%Win rate#24 of 592
Beats 80%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#119 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board27
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-08-25
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$16K
Verified lifetime PnL
$592KVolume
96.3%Win rate (sample) · n=400
2.54%PnL ÷ Volume
$6747-day PnL
$1K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$16.5K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $241only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$12partial
Liquidity rewards$6
2.79% ROI96.3% Win rate · n=400
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Culture +$3,229
Top 5 winning markets
- +$720Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?Sports · No / Yes
- +$606Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?Politics · Yes / No
- +$539Will NightBirds Win Hitpoint Masters 2026 SummerSports · No
- +$417Will "Motherfucker" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 1)Culture · Yes
- +$390Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next YouTube video?Culture · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$331Will the announcers say "Messi" during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?Sports · No
- -$280Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in Texas?Politics · Yes
- -$270Will Trump say "Plastic Egg" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?Politics · Yes
- -$254Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?Finance · No
- -$249Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?Culture · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$16KVerified lifetime PnL
$14KEarned off the board
27Days on board
$2KBoard-day sum
$6747-day PnL
$1K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 2 | $328 |
| 2026-05 | 4 | $154 |
| 2026-06 | 13 | $1K |
| 2026-07 | 7 | $245 |
| 2026-08 | 1 | $329 |
Which boards
Mentions 24Finance 3
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
24% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $12 (87% maker / 13% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly aggressive
Passive ratio24%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-27
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$12
Maker rebate$10
Taker rebate$2
Maker share87%
Taker share13%
Window2026-05-02 → 2026-10-06
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$2K
Verified lifetime PnL$16K
Verification gap$14K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)