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0x241F...e15a
0x241ff966f22080fbee3928e194763e575847e15a
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 28% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 28%Verified PnL#805 of 1130
Beats 36%30-day PnL#515 of 810
Beats 65%Win rate#317 of 928
Beats 25%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#708 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board29
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-09-20
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$3K
Verified lifetime PnL
$2.59MVolume
73.6%Win rate · n=364
0.11%PnL ÷ Volume
$1K7-day PnL
$1K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$3,152
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid$0only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$264partial
Liquidity rewards$6,015
0.12% ROI73.4% Win rate · n=365
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Tech & science +$4,025 · loses the most in Crypto -$699
Top 5 winning markets
- +$1,016Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- +$724Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- +$662Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech & science · Yes / No
- +$649US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Politics · No
- +$581Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech & science · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$1,768US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Politics · Yes / No
- -$1,524Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto · No / Yes
- -$928US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Politics · Yes / No
- -$910Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech & science · No / Yes
- -$845S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 29?Finance · Up
Covers the 389 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 1 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$60.94). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$3KVerified lifetime PnL
$791Earned off the board
29Days on board
$2KBoard-day sum
$1K7-day PnL
$1K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | $309 |
| 2026-05 | 2 | $474 |
| 2026-06 | 5 | $162 |
| 2026-07 | 12 | $1K |
| 2026-08 | 5 | $80 |
| 2026-09 | 4 | $236 |
Which boards
Tech 21Finance 4Politics 3Crypto 1Culture 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
87% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $264 (96% maker / 4% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio87%
Fills measured499
Window ends2026-09-30
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$264
Maker rebate$254
Taker rebate$10
Maker share96%
Taker share4%
Window2026-04-30 → 2026-11-04
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$2K
Verified lifetime PnL$3K
Verification gap$791
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)