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poorsob
0x2785e7022dc20757108204b13c08cea8613b70ae
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 78% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 78%Verified PnL#241 of 1130
Beats 92%Win rate#74 of 928
Beats 25%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#712 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board24
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-03-19
Last seen2026-07-10
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$256K
Verified lifetime PnL
$252.40MVolume
93.6%Win rate · n=203
0.10%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$256.1K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid$0only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$256partial
Liquidity rewards$6,576
0.10% ROI93.6% Win rate · n=203
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$144.9K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$37.4KRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$24.5KRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$23.6KUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Politics · Yes
- +$20.1KUS forces enter Iran by April 30?Politics · Yes
- +$18.4KUS government shutdown Saturday?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$103.1KWill Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?Politics · No
- -$83.2KIran closes its airspace by May 24?Politics · Yes
- -$1,782Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?Crypto · Yes
- -$686Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?Politics · No / Yes
- -$600Will Trump post "POTUS" this week on Truth Social?Culture · No
Covers the 209 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$256KVerified lifetime PnL
$146KEarned off the board
24Days on board
$110KBoard-day sum
—7-day PnL
—30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 3 | $2K |
| 2026-04 | 2 | $4K |
| 2026-05 | 13 | $91K |
| 2026-06 | 4 | $5K |
| 2026-07 | 2 | $8K |
Which boards
Mentions 10Politics 10Crypto 5All markets 3Culture 2Sports 2
Method breakdown
Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
visible rebate $256 (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$256
Maker rebate$256
Taker rebate$0
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-04-26 → 2026-07-09
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$110K
Verified lifetime PnL$256K
Verification gap$146K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)