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0x279c5de35108afc30b99f09e595555b428e92b82
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 27% of the 625 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 27%Verified PnL#453 of 625
Beats 32%30-day PnL#352 of 519
Beats 36%Win rate#360 of 566
Beats 28%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#421 of 592
Compared with the 625 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board23
Archive span201 days
First seen2026-05-08
Last seen2026-08-18
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$6K
Verified lifetime PnL
$2.66MVolume
55.8%Win rate (sample) · n=394
0.24%PnL ÷ Volume
$5887-day PnL
$1K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-10-30
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$6,430
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $1only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$305partial
Liquidity rewards$661
0.24% ROI55.8% Win rate · n=394
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$7,555 · loses the most in Tech & science -$1,482
Top 5 winning markets
- +$2,527Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?Politics · No
- +$1,600GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Tech & science · No / Yes
- +$1,080Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Politics · No
- +$1,052Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$995Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?Politics · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$1,808Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Politics · No
- -$1,324Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Politics · No / Yes
- -$1,182Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Politics · Yes / No
- -$944Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by December 31, 2026?Politics · No
- -$864Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?Politics · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-10-30
$6KVerified lifetime PnL
$3KEarned off the board
23Days on board
$4KBoard-day sum
$5887-day PnL
$1K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 3 | $826 |
| 2026-06 | 13 | $1K |
| 2026-07 | 5 | $1K |
| 2026-08 | 2 | $129 |
Which boards
Tech 14Finance 6Politics 4Crypto 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
91% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $305 (85% maker / 15% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio91%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-30
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$305
Maker rebate$258
Taker rebate$47
Maker share85%
Taker share15%
Window2026-05-05 → 2026-10-30
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$4K
Verified lifetime PnL$6K
Verification gap$3K
Trade on Polymarket
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Archived 2026-10-30 · not refreshed since then · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-10-30 (201 snapshots)