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0x280e296e…

0x280e296e5f14091642208ac24614826d9902fbd8

Site-wide rank

Verified PnL beats 40% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.

Beats 40%Verified PnL#690 of 1156
Beats 17%Win rate#797 of 963
Beats 36%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#633 of 1000

Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.

Days on board25
Archive span207 days
First seen2026-07-06
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictHolds up

At a glance

$14K

Verified lifetime PnL

$5.52MVolume
48.8%Win rate (sample) · n=400
0.43%PnL ÷ Volume
2026-07 2026-09

Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.

Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.

Loading official book…

Loading how it makes money…

Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05

Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$14.0K

For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again

Trading fees paid≥ $17only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)—
Liquidity rewards$191
0.25% ROI48.8% Win rate · n=400

Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.

Trading styleShort-cycle specialist100% of last 500 fills (over 3 h) are 5/15-min or hourly marketsMostly maker100% of 499 archived fills were maker (resting order) fillsHolds to settlementSells are only 0% of turnover in the last 500 fills (over 3 h)Mainly crypto100% of last 500 fills (over 3 h) are crypto marketsRead from recent fills; hover a tag for the numbers. A profile, not a signal to copy.

What it trades and where the money comes from

Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.

No category in profit; worst is Crypto -$5,915

Crypto400 pos.-$5,915

Top 5 winning markets

  1. +$1,387Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETCrypto · Down
  2. +$1,162Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETCrypto · Down
  3. +$1,136Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETCrypto · Down
  4. +$1,091Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETCrypto · Up
  5. +$1,078Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETCrypto · Down

Top 5 losing markets

  1. -$1,406Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETCrypto · Up
  2. -$1,195Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:05AM-3:10AM ETCrypto · Up
  3. -$1,160Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETCrypto · Down
  4. -$1,140Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETCrypto · Up
  5. -$1,051Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETCrypto · Down

Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05

Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →

$14KVerified lifetime PnL
$7KEarned off the board
25Days on board
$7KBoard-day sum

Month by month

MonthDays on a boardSummed PnL
2026-07 13 $5K
2026-08 2 $393
2026-09 10 $2K

Which boards

Crypto 25

Method breakdown

Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesnot measured yet
Profit compositionnot measured yet

Measured layers

100% passive fills in the recent window

Compare with another wallet

Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.

Execution style

passive (market maker)

Passive ratio100%
Fills measured499
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent

Visible rebates

Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.

Profit composition

No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.

Verification check

Holds up

Board-day sum$7K
Verified lifetime PnL$14K
Verification gap$7K

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Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)