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0x299cb401…
0x299cb40195d270438f8950902f242d796457d85e
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 33% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 33%Verified PnL#416 of 624
Beats 26%30-day PnL#439 of 594
Beats 96%Win rate#23 of 592
Beats 71%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#179 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board52
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-10-11
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$17K
Verified lifetime PnL
$834KVolume
96.5%Win rate (sample) · n=400
1.98%PnL ÷ Volume
$1247-day PnL
-$21030-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$16.7K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $130only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$8partial
Liquidity rewards$216
2.00% ROI96.5% Win rate · n=401
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Culture +$5,046 · loses the most in Weather -$526
Top 5 winning markets
- +$4,378Will "Left" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Culture · Yes
- +$342Will Trump say "Etc." or "Et cetera" this week? (February 22)Politics · Yes
- +$303Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?Tech & science · No
- +$209Will Coca-Cola say "Bacardi" during earnings call?Finance · No
- +$202Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$320Will Brian Armstrong say "Bitcoin" at the Coinbase product showcase on December 17?Culture · Yes
- -$265Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?Culture · No
- -$246Will "Canada" or "Canadian" be said on the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Culture · No
- -$196Will Brian Armstrong say "Solana" at the Coinbase product showcase on December 17?Culture · Yes
- -$177Will Starmer say "Ban" during the next PMQ?Culture · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$17KVerified lifetime PnL
$12KEarned off the board
52Days on board
$4KBoard-day sum
$1247-day PnL
-$21030-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 2 | $756 |
| 2026-05 | 11 | $1K |
| 2026-06 | 9 | $216 |
| 2026-07 | 15 | $1K |
| 2026-08 | 10 | $416 |
| 2026-09 | 4 | $201 |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $41 |
Which boards
Mentions 41Finance 18
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
8% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $8 (49% maker / 51% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
aggressive (taker)
Passive ratio8%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-24
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$8
Maker rebate$4
Taker rebate$4
Maker share49%
Taker share51%
Window2026-01-15 → 2026-07-10
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$4K
Verified lifetime PnL$17K
Verification gap$12K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)