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Mentallyillgambld
0x2b3ff45c91540e46fae1e0c72f61f4b049453446
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 92% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 92%Verified PnL#90 of 1130
Beats 56%Win rate#403 of 928
Beats 93%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#65 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board8
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-03-21
Last seen2026-06-12
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$993K
Verified lifetime PnL
$17.00MVolume
68.8%Win rate · n=112
5.84%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$992.7K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $9,399only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$4,949partial
Liquidity rewards$242
5.84% ROI63.1% Win rate · n=122
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$1.00M
Top 5 winning markets
- +$624.4KWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?Sports · Yes
- +$339.3KConnecticut Huskies vs. Michigan WolverinesSports · Michigan Wolverines
- +$186.5KSpread: Duke Blue Devils (-12.5)Sports · Duke Blue Devils
- +$137.3KKnicks vs. SpursSports · Knicks
- +$117.4KSpread: Hornets (-15.5)Sports · Hornets
Top 5 losing markets
- -$394.0KLoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand PlayoffsSports · Gen.G
- -$357.8KLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White SoxSports · Los Angeles Dodgers
- -$322.0KWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?Sports · Yes
- -$231.9KIowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida GatorsSports · Florida Gators
- -$129.7KSpread: Florida Gators (-10.5)Sports · Florida Gators
Covers all 122 closed positions this wallet has. Includes 10 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$1.11M). Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$993KVerified lifetime PnL
$384KBelow board-day sum
8Days on board
$1.38MBoard-day sum
—7-day PnL
—30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 3 | $455K |
| 2026-06 | 5 | $922K |
Which boards
Sports 7All markets 6
Method breakdown
Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
visible rebate $5K (53% maker / 47% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$5K
Maker rebate$3K
Taker rebate$2K
Maker share53%
Taker share47%
Window2026-03-20 → 2026-07-09
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$1.38M
Verified lifetime PnL$993K
Verification gap-$384K
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)