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smallyua
0x2b407c1091b0e0de5fa5e6d96a2edda2cee3ced4
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 34% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
At a glance
$7K
Verified lifetime PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Weather +$9,805 · loses the most in Sports -$60
Top 5 winning markets
- +$281Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 15?Weather · No
- +$233Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 2?Weather · No
- +$184Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 19?Weather · Yes
- +$179Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 26?Weather · Yes
- +$155Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 17?Weather · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$94.6Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 23?Weather · Yes
- -$71.57Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 24?Weather · No
- -$63.37Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on June 18?Weather · No
- -$61.58Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 14?Weather · No
- -$57.11Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 4?Weather · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 863 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$9,362). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 3 | $306 |
| 2026-07 | 3 | $339 |
| 2026-08 | 4 | $160 |
| 2026-09 | 1 | $22 |
Which boards
Method breakdown
Measured layers
63% passive fills in the recent window
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)