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0x2c89c4edf80b95f7499dfb97e3f00ee7e89b5f1c
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 20% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
At a glance
-$3K
Verified lifetime PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Tech & science +$624 · loses the most in Politics -$1,450
Top 5 winning markets
- +$1,795US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$1,364US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$1,199US military action against Iran before July?Politics · Yes / No
- +$1,061US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Politics · No
- +$1,011US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$2,220US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?Politics · Yes
- -$1,167Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?Politics · Yes
- -$995Israel strike on Iran on June 25?Politics · Yes
- -$949Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Politics · Yes
- -$631Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Politics · Yes
Covers all 87 closed positions this wallet has. Includes 16 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$1,862). Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | 1 | $65 |
| 2026-08 | 2 | $120 |
| 2026-09 | 6 | $2K |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $564 |
Which boards
Method breakdown
Measured layers
1% passive fills in the recent window
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
unknown (methods disagree)
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
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Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)