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stormshadow
0x2ca9149f3b481a56d128c002b1c06591e8e8b942
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 40% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 40%Verified PnL#668 of 1130
Beats 41%30-day PnL#474 of 810
Beats 81%Win rate#170 of 928
Beats 60%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#374 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board9
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-05-30
Last seen2026-11-04
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$17K
Verified lifetime PnL
$1.35MVolume
84.6%Win rate · n=214
1.28%PnL ÷ Volume
$4K7-day PnL
$2K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$17.3K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $230only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$10partial
Liquidity rewards$5
1.28% ROI84.6% Win rate · n=214
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Culture +$10.2K · loses the most in Sports -$42.92
Top 5 winning markets
- +$2,481Will "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $40m?Culture · No
- +$2,030Will 'Wicked' gross more than $500 million domestically by January 9?Culture · No
- +$1,978Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross more than $170m opening weekend?Culture · No
- +$1,522Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Culture · Yes
- +$1,044Will 'Sonic 3' gross between $72-80m on 3-day opening weekend?Culture · No / Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$1,921Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?Culture · No / Yes
- -$1,909Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?Finance · No
- -$746Will 'Moana 2' gross over $200m on 5-day opening?Culture · No
- -$733Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Finance · Yes
- -$561Will 'Final Destination: Bloodlines' gross more than $52m opening weekend?Culture · No
Covers the 214 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$17KVerified lifetime PnL
$16KEarned off the board
9Days on board
$1KBoard-day sum
$4K7-day PnL
$2K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 1 | $81 |
| 2026-06 | 3 | $499 |
| 2026-08 | 2 | $187 |
| 2026-09 | 2 | $93 |
| 2026-11 | 1 | $207 |
Which boards
Culture 7Crypto 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
5% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $10 (0% maker / 100% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
aggressive (taker)
Passive ratio5%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-01
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$10
Maker rebate$0
Taker rebate$10
Maker share0%
Taker share100%
Window2026-08-25 → 2026-08-25
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$1K
Verified lifetime PnL$17K
Verification gap$16K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)