ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
0x2CA
0x2cad814fb1acd284737b231c65b4f897f8a0c773
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 21% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 21%Verified PnL#883 of 1130
Beats 34%30-day PnL#530 of 810
#1Win rate#1 of 928
Beats 19%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#771 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board7
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-08-09
Last seen2026-09-18
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$936
Verified lifetime PnL
$1.29MVolume
100%Win rate (sample) · n=400
-0.08%PnL ÷ Volume
$6767-day PnL
$87930-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$936
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $10only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$134partial
Liquidity rewards$261
-0.07% ROI44.7% Win rate · n=900
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Weather +$784 · loses the most in Finance -$1,309
Top 5 winning markets
- +$654Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 7?Weather · Yes / No
- +$567Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 5?Weather · Yes / No
- +$525Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics · Yes
- +$478Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 5?Weather · Yes / No
- +$436Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 7?Weather · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$866Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Finance · Yes
- -$692Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 7?Weather · Yes / No
- -$605Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 19?Weather · No / Yes
- -$421Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 7?Weather · Yes / No
- -$409Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on August 5?Weather · Yes / No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 2753 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$7,412). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
-$936Verified lifetime PnL
$1KBelow board-day sum
7Days on board
$307Board-day sum
$6767-day PnL
$87930-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08 | 3 | $223 |
| 2026-09 | 4 | $84 |
Which boards
Weather 6Sports 1
Method breakdown
Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
visible rebate $134 (50% maker / 50% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$134
Maker rebate$67
Taker rebate$67
Maker share50%
Taker share50%
Window2026-07-17 → 2026-09-01
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$307
Verified lifetime PnL-$936
Verification gap-$1K
Trade on Polymarket
If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.
Open Polymarket View this trader on PolymarketAffiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.
Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)