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0x2d2d2b32e5199edf833594a99b9c54e5668ab69d
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 49% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 49%Verified PnL#314 of 624
Beats 78%30-day PnL#131 of 594
Beats 85%Win rate#85 of 592
Beats 80%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#123 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board12
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-08-18
Last seen2026-10-11
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$49K
Verified lifetime PnL
$1.39MVolume
86.3%Win rate (sample) · n=400
2.46%PnL ÷ Volume
$12K7-day PnL
$58K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$49.0K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $2,600only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$1,456partial
Liquidity rewards$0
3.53% ROI38.4% Win rate · n=898
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Crypto +$94.6K · loses the most in Politics -$777
Top 5 winning markets
- +$5,458Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETCrypto · Down
- +$3,640Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETCrypto · Up
- +$3,617Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETCrypto · Down
- +$3,296Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETCrypto · Up
- +$2,795Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETCrypto · Down
Top 5 losing markets
- -$1,044LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group StageSports · Hanwha Life Esports
- -$953Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETCrypto · Up
- -$899Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETCrypto · Down
- -$849Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETCrypto · Up
- -$777Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$49KVerified lifetime PnL
$37KEarned off the board
12Days on board
$12KBoard-day sum
$12K7-day PnL
$58K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08 | 3 | $90 |
| 2026-09 | 8 | $423 |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $12K |
Which boards
Sports 11Weather 1Crypto 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
3% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $1K (2% maker / 98% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
aggressive (taker)
Passive ratio3%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-29
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$1K
Maker rebate$28
Taker rebate$1K
Maker share2%
Taker share98%
Window2026-08-17 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$12K
Verified lifetime PnL$49K
Verification gap$37K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)