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← All boardsvidarx
0x2d8b401d2f0e6937afebf18e19e11ca568a5260a
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 80% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 80%Verified PnL#120 of 624
Beats 35%Win rate#381 of 592
Beats 38%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#384 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board5
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-03-20
Last seen2026-07-14
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$473K
Verified lifetime PnL
$91.19MVolume
55.3%Win rate (sample) · n=400
0.52%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$473.0K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $1,512only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$76.2Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$0
0.52% ROI45.1% Win rate · n=490
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Crypto +$21.2K · loses the most in Finance -$15.3K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$19.7KCounter-Strike: Alliance vs OG (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier PlayoffsSports · Alliance
- +$12.1KBitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETCrypto · Down
- +$8,031Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETCrypto · Up
- +$7,738Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETCrypto · Up
- +$7,737Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETCrypto · Down
Top 5 losing markets
- -$15.3KWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Finance · No
- -$7,220Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETCrypto · Up / Down
- -$6,740Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETCrypto · Up
- -$6,632Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETCrypto · Up
- -$6,540Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:45AM-2:50AM ETCrypto · Down
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$473KVerified lifetime PnL
$403KEarned off the board
5Days on board
$70KBoard-day sum
—7-day PnL
—30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 3 | $68K |
| 2026-07 | 2 | $2K |
Which boards
Crypto 5
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
58% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $76K (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mixed
Passive ratio58%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-07-14
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$76K
Maker rebate$76K
Taker rebate$123
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-01-08 → 2026-07-15
Profit composition
Net negative (window)
Trade cash$0
Rebate$0
Net total$0
Window2026-09-12 → 2026-10-12
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$70K
Verified lifetime PnL$473K
Verification gap$403K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)