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0x2e3ecedec4b004c61670f0dcda382ec0da1f0f92
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 52% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 52%Verified PnL#294 of 624
Beats 81%30-day PnL#110 of 594
Beats 61%Win rate#231 of 592
Beats 94%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#35 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board7
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-10-03
Last seen2026-10-11
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$63K
Verified lifetime PnL
$677KVolume
69.7%Win rate (sample) · n=396
5.55%PnL ÷ Volume
$18K7-day PnL
$77K30-day PnL
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$62.8K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $5only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$2,450partial
Liquidity rewards$4
9.27% ROI30.9% Win rate · n=893
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Weather +$169.9K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$6,071Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 10?Weather · Yes / No
- +$2,760Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 13?Weather · Yes
- +$2,729Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 15?Weather · Yes
- +$2,450Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14?Weather · Yes
- +$2,032Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 19?Weather · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$843Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 20?Weather · No
- -$392Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 20?Weather · No
- -$309Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on October 15?Weather · No
- -$274Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 14?Weather · No
- -$269Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on October 19?Weather · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$63KVerified lifetime PnL
$33KEarned off the board
7Days on board
$30KBoard-day sum
$18K7-day PnL
$77K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10 | 7 | $30K |
Which boards
Weather 7
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
4% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $2K (1% maker / 99% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
aggressive (taker)
Passive ratio4%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-06
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$2K
Maker rebate$35
Taker rebate$2K
Maker share1%
Taker share99%
Window2026-10-03 → 2026-10-29
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$30K
Verified lifetime PnL$63K
Verification gap$33K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)