ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
DrSlips
0x2ecb3055976168e95676dc12c10e2000e2d9ecb8
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 11% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 11%Verified PnL#997 of 1130
Beats 7%30-day PnL#746 of 810
Beats 20%Win rate#737 of 928
Beats 2%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#928 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board13
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-08-19
Last seen2026-09-20
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$27K
Verified lifetime PnL
$1.22MVolume
50.7%Win rate · n=213
-2.68%PnL ÷ Volume
$3K7-day PnL
-$30K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$27.5K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $1,226only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$526partial
Liquidity rewards$332
-2.25% ROI50.5% Win rate · n=214
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$16.9K · loses the most in Politics -$41.0K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$18.5KChiefs vs. BroncosSports · Broncos / Chiefs
- +$7,940Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Politics · No / Yes
- +$6,609Rolex Paris Masters: Denis Shapovalov vs Karen KhachanovSports · Karen Khachanov
- +$6,383Seoul: Terence Atmane vs Coleman WongSports · Terence Atmane
- +$5,712Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$46.6KWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · Yes / No
- -$17.3KRolex Paris Masters: Ugo Humbert vs Botic van de ZandschulpSports · Ugo Humbert / Botic van de Zandschulp
- -$10.3KRolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert HurkaczSports · Hubert Hurkacz
- -$8,148Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Politics · Yes
- -$5,774Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Miomir KecmanovicSports · Miomir Kecmanovic
Covers the 217 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 1 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$283). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
-$27KVerified lifetime PnL
$32KBelow board-day sum
13Days on board
$4KBoard-day sum
$3K7-day PnL
-$30K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08 | 9 | $4K |
| 2026-09 | 4 | $296 |
Which boards
Sports 13
Method breakdown
Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
visible rebate $526 (79% maker / 21% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$526
Maker rebate$415
Taker rebate$112
Maker share79%
Taker share21%
Window2026-08-18 → 2026-11-04
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$4K
Verified lifetime PnL-$27K
Verification gap-$32K
Trade on Polymarket
If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.
Open Polymarket View this trader on PolymarketAffiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.
Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)