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← All boardsBAO95889
0x300c5e1ec9e4d6e8bd9617f0a44508170c5b6a92
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 41% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 41%Verified PnL#363 of 624
Beats 54%30-day PnL#270 of 594
Beats 56%Win rate#260 of 592
Beats 58%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#258 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board17
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-06-26
Last seen2026-09-20
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$33K
Verified lifetime PnL
$2.59MVolume
68%Win rate (sample) · n=397
1.26%PnL ÷ Volume
$2K7-day PnL
$8K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$32.9K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $17only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$362partial
Liquidity rewards$1,014
1.27% ROI35.4% Win rate · n=763
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$11.9K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$3,005Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?Sports · Yes
- +$1,532Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?Politics · No
- +$1,009Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$991Will "The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture · Yes
- +$940US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$2,741Will Germany go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Sports · Yes
- -$967Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Yes
- -$837Government shutdown on Saturday?Politics · No
- -$682Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Politics · Yes / No
- -$654US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Politics · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$33KVerified lifetime PnL
$32KEarned off the board
17Days on board
$701Board-day sum
$2K7-day PnL
$8K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 1 | $17 |
| 2026-07 | 3 | $130 |
| 2026-08 | 2 | $41 |
| 2026-09 | 11 | $512 |
Which boards
Tech 14Politics 4Sports 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
51% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $362 (23% maker / 77% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mixed
Passive ratio51%
Fills measured497
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$362
Maker rebate$84
Taker rebate$278
Maker share23%
Taker share77%
Window2026-06-10 → 2026-10-23
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$701
Verified lifetime PnL$33K
Verification gap$32K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)