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bonalddrunk
0x3089e1a6e3e9122c328aebe47b86ff5e13b292f6
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 15% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 15%Verified PnL#952 of 1130
Beats 56%30-day PnL#356 of 810
Beats 38%Win rate#569 of 928
Beats 4%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#911 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board56
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-05-21
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$11K
Verified lifetime PnL
$903KVolume
59%Win rate (sample) · n=395
-1.84%PnL ÷ Volume
$2K7-day PnL
$9K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$11.0K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $377only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$213partial
Liquidity rewards$33
-1.22% ROI56.8% Win rate · n=410
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$15.3K · loses the most in Sports -$20.7K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$5,538Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?Politics · Yes
- +$2,875Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Politics · No
- +$2,476Will Jared Moskowitz win the FL-25 Democratic primary by at least 25%?Politics · Yes
- +$2,377Grok 4.6 released by August 12, 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- +$1,626Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?Politics · No / Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$4,423Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?Sports · No
- -$3,420Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
- -$3,406Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?Sports · No
- -$2,697Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · Yes
- -$2,626Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles DodgersSports · Los Angeles Dodgers
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 15 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$1,665). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
-$11KVerified lifetime PnL
$18KBelow board-day sum
56Days on board
$7KBoard-day sum
$2K7-day PnL
$9K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 3 | $748 |
| 2026-06 | 5 | $2K |
| 2026-07 | 12 | $1K |
| 2026-08 | 24 | $3K |
| 2026-09 | 12 | $480 |
Which boards
Sports 23Tech 22Politics 15Culture 9Mentions 3Finance 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
2% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $213 (8% maker / 92% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
aggressive (taker)
Passive ratio2%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-14
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$213
Maker rebate$17
Taker rebate$196
Maker share8%
Taker share92%
Window2026-05-20 → 2026-10-25
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$7K
Verified lifetime PnL-$11K
Verification gap-$18K
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)