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0x312ee6a5878a5582e8f96700e6268171bf9d8604
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 8% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 8%Verified PnL#574 of 624
Beats 15%30-day PnL#504 of 594
Beats 4%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#593 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board26
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-30
Last seen2026-10-12
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$110K
Verified lifetime PnL
$5.50MVolume
0%Win rate · n=4
-1.99%PnL ÷ Volume
-$8637-day PnL
-$5K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$109.5K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $1,738only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$1partial
Liquidity rewards$0
-1.99% ROI— Win rate · n=5
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
No category in profit; worst is Politics -$27.3K
Top 5 winning markets
No winning market in the sample.
Top 5 losing markets
- -$10.0KTrump out as President by March 31?Politics · Yes
- -$9,353Netanyahu out by March 31?Politics · Yes
- -$5,623Netanyahu out by April 30?Politics · Yes
- -$2,309Netanyahu out by June 30?Politics · Yes
Covers all 4 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$110KVerified lifetime PnL
$143KBelow board-day sum
26Days on board
$34KBoard-day sum
-$8637-day PnL
-$5K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | $3K |
| 2026-05 | 5 | $9K |
| 2026-06 | 10 | $11K |
| 2026-07 | 5 | $2K |
| 2026-08 | 3 | $627 |
| 2026-09 | 1 | $125 |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $8K |
Which boards
Politics 26
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
54% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $1 (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
unknown (methods disagree)
Passive ratio54%
Fills measured149
Window ends2026-05-15
Window scope55 days
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$1
Maker rebate$1
Taker rebate$0
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-04-21 → 2026-04-21
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$34K
Verified lifetime PnL-$110K
Verification gap-$143K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)