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0x34dbc406…
0x34dbc406881a24b82f4b138e09169d9a004b1b63
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 30% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 30%Verified PnL#789 of 1130
Beats 40%30-day PnL#484 of 810
Beats 46%Win rate#494 of 928
Beats 48%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#491 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board20
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-05-24
Last seen2026-10-12
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$4K
Verified lifetime PnL
$338KVolume
64.1%Win rate · n=231
0.80%PnL ÷ Volume
-$1387-day PnL
$2K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$3,929
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $203only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$183partial
Liquidity rewards$85
1.16% ROI60.9% Win rate · n=243
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Weather +$3,104 · loses the most in Culture -$534
Top 5 winning markets
- +$1,909Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Tech & science · Yes / No
- +$800Will May 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Tech & science · No
- +$678Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?Weather · Yes / No
- +$540Will June 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Tech & science · No
- +$396Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?Weather · Yes / No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$691Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in July 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- -$568Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Culture · No
- -$450Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?Tech & science · No / Yes
- -$361Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?Weather · No / Yes
- -$334Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 86 to 95 km/h in October?Weather · Yes
Covers the 262 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 12 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$1,628). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$4KVerified lifetime PnL
$544Earned off the board
20Days on board
$3KBoard-day sum
-$1387-day PnL
$2K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 1 | $86 |
| 2026-06 | 3 | $211 |
| 2026-07 | 6 | $1K |
| 2026-08 | 5 | $539 |
| 2026-09 | 4 | $508 |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $775 |
Which boards
Weather 20
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
24% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $183 (16% maker / 84% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly aggressive
Passive ratio24%
Fills measured482
Window ends2026-09-28
Window scope8 days
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$183
Maker rebate$29
Taker rebate$154
Maker share16%
Taker share84%
Window2026-06-12 → 2026-11-04
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$3K
Verified lifetime PnL$4K
Verification gap$544
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)