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0x3574aa67e0027d389f4d12d5324c568cbd130f66
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 26% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 26%Verified PnL#458 of 624
Beats 33%30-day PnL#394 of 594
Beats 86%Win rate#81 of 592
Beats 98%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#13 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board15
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-27
Last seen2026-08-23
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$7K
Verified lifetime PnL
$60KVolume
86.7%Win rate · n=45
11.52%PnL ÷ Volume
$8397-day PnL
$83130-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$6,914
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $35only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$2partial
Liquidity rewards$40
11.5% ROI71.4% Win rate · n=56
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$5,385
Top 5 winning markets
- +$1,729Will Trump say "Unbelievable" or "Fantastic" or "Incredible" 10+ times during Panthers visit?Politics · Yes
- +$1,639Will Donald Trump dance on May 1, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$957Will "Covid" be said on ICEMAN?Culture · Yes
- +$769Will Trump say "Luck" this week? (December 8 - 14)Politics · Yes
- +$448Will Trump say "Kamala" this week? (April 20 - 26)Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$629Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · Yes
- -$57.92Will Trump say “Marjorie Traitor Greene” by February 28?Culture · No
- -$4.01Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in April?Culture · Yes
- -$2.95Will Luigi Mangione smile during next court appearance?Culture · Yes
- -$0.1Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?Politics · Yes
Covers all 49 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$7KVerified lifetime PnL
$6KEarned off the board
15Days on board
$1KBoard-day sum
$8397-day PnL
$83130-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 4 | $960 |
| 2026-05 | 7 | $223 |
| 2026-06 | 3 | $131 |
| 2026-08 | 1 | $14 |
Which boards
Mentions 13Culture 1Politics 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
73% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $2 (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio73%
Fills measured205
Window ends2026-10-27
Window scope284 days
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$2
Maker rebate$2
Taker rebate$0
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-04-28 → 2026-08-16
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$1K
Verified lifetime PnL$7K
Verification gap$6K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)