ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
0x361b16e3…
0x361b16e3ddfe1d415d41008daac2631d94ab74fe
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 4% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 4%Verified PnL#1078 of 1130
Beats 91%30-day PnL#69 of 810
Beats 37%Win rate#585 of 928
Beats 9%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#868 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board18
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-06-18
Last seen2026-09-19
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$212K
Verified lifetime PnL
$33.75MVolume
58.3%Win rate (sample) · n=400
-1.02%PnL ÷ Volume
-$240K7-day PnL
$241K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$211.6K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $5,913only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$96.8Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$0
-0.63% ROI58.3% Win rate · n=400
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
No category in profit; worst is Sports -$173.9K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$986.5KFrance vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Sports · Under
- +$515.8KWill Spain win on 2026-09-26?Sports · Yes / No
- +$503.3KSpread: France (-1.5)Sports · Paraguay / France
- +$438.1KSpain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Sports · Over / Under
- +$239.6KWill Norway win on 2026-09-24?Sports · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$1.73MFrance vs. Spain: O/U 2.5Sports · Under / Over
- -$573.9KNorway vs. England: O/U 2.5Sports · Under / Over
- -$240.0KWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28?Sports · Yes
- -$234.3KEngland vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Sports · Over / Under
- -$225.4KSpread: Spain (-1.5)Sports · Austria
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
-$212KVerified lifetime PnL
$423KBelow board-day sum
18Days on board
$211KBoard-day sum
-$240K7-day PnL
$241K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 6 | $138K |
| 2026-07 | 6 | $72K |
| 2026-08 | 4 | $1K |
| 2026-09 | 2 | $41 |
Which boards
Sports 18All markets 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
0% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $97K (0% maker / 100% taker); recent window rebate share 6%
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
aggressive (taker)
Passive ratio0%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-24
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$97K
Maker rebate$0
Taker rebate$97K
Maker share0%
Taker share100%
Window2026-07-08 → 2026-11-04
Profit composition
Trade-dominated
Trade cash$195K
Rebate$12K
Net total$207K
Rebate share6%
Window2026-10-05 → 2026-11-04
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$211K
Verified lifetime PnL-$212K
Verification gap-$423K
Trade on Polymarket
If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.
Open Polymarket View this trader on PolymarketAffiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.
Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)