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0x3653235d…
0x3653235d75a0d5969c42f7514d4df8ea5f8cef74
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 51% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 51%Verified PnL#552 of 1130
Beats 80%30-day PnL#162 of 810
Beats 6%Win rate#869 of 928
Beats 40%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#569 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board39
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-06-01
Last seen2026-09-21
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$37K
Verified lifetime PnL
$2.87MVolume
36.5%Win rate (sample) · n=63
0.54%PnL ÷ Volume
$5K7-day PnL
$74K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$36.7K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $11only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$1,466partial
Liquidity rewards$185
1.28% ROI28.6% Win rate · n=276
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$41.4K · loses the most in Sports -$1,599
Top 5 winning markets
- +$19.8KWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Finance · No / Yes
- +$14.6KWill Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Politics · No
- +$9,305Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Politics · No
- +$8,080Will France win on 2026-06-30?Sports · No / Yes
- +$7,781Exact Score: Any Other Score?Sports · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$6,234Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes / No
- -$6,139Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes / No
- -$6,124Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Finance · No / Yes
- -$4,224Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes / No
- -$4,165Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?Sports · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 157 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$3,428). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$37KVerified lifetime PnL
$11KEarned off the board
39Days on board
$26KBoard-day sum
$5K7-day PnL
$74K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 8 | $874 |
| 2026-07 | 8 | $4K |
| 2026-08 | 14 | $21K |
| 2026-09 | 9 | $435 |
Which boards
Sports 17Weather 16Politics 7Culture 3Tech 2Crypto 1All markets 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
35% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $1K (60% maker / 40% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly aggressive
Passive ratio35%
Fills measured499
Window ends2026-10-02
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$1K
Maker rebate$884
Taker rebate$582
Maker share60%
Taker share40%
Window2026-05-23 → 2026-11-04
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$26K
Verified lifetime PnL$37K
Verification gap$11K
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)