ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
← All boardsbabyshark.
0x36edf4d48d3fdf4b59bb549be42843f3349c4a93
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 17% of the 625 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 17%Verified PnL#514 of 625
Beats 23%30-day PnL#396 of 519
Beats 43%Win rate#322 of 566
Beats 12%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#516 of 592
Compared with the 625 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board24
Archive span201 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-09-20
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$663
Verified lifetime PnL
$197KVolume
59.4%Win rate · n=212
-0.34%PnL ÷ Volume
-$847-day PnL
-$7030-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-10-30
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$749
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $87only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$62partial
Liquidity rewards$119
-0.38% ROI49.8% Win rate · n=253
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Finance +$4,322 · loses the most in Crypto -$607
Top 5 winning markets
- +$2,273Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Finance · Yes
- +$952Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Finance · Yes
- +$900Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?Tech & science · No
- +$771O/U 0.5 RoundsSports · Over
- +$685S&P 500 all time high by December 31?Finance · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$1,600Jimmy Kimmel hosts an episode of "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" by September 30?Culture · No
- -$1,524UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)Sports · Dvalishvili
- -$1,380No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Politics · Yes
- -$1,228Will the Minnesota Lynx win the 2025 WNBA Championship?Sports · Yes
- -$500Nets vs. TimberwolvesSports · Timberwolves
Covers the 213 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-10-30
-$663Verified lifetime PnL
$4KBelow board-day sum
24Days on board
$3KBoard-day sum
-$847-day PnL
-$7030-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 3 | $277 |
| 2026-05 | 10 | $3K |
| 2026-06 | 4 | $114 |
| 2026-08 | 6 | $147 |
| 2026-09 | 1 | $14 |
Which boards
Tech 17Sports 7Mentions 2Weather 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
92% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $62 (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio92%
Fills measured497
Window ends2026-10-16
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$62
Maker rebate$62
Taker rebate$0
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-04-04 → 2026-10-03
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$3K
Verified lifetime PnL-$663
Verification gap-$4K
Trade on Polymarket
If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.
Open Polymarket View this trader on PolymarketAffiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.
Archived 2026-10-30 · not refreshed since then · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-10-30 (201 snapshots)