ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
CemeterySun
0x37c1874a60d348903594a96703e0507c518fc53a
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 96% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 96%Verified PnL#40 of 1130
Beats 49%Win rate#468 of 928
Beats 59%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#385 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board11
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-03-19
Last seen2026-04-26
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$1.85M
Verified lifetime PnL
$148.68MVolume
65.3%Win rate (sample) · n=400
1.25%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$1.85M
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid$0only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$58.5Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$41.8K
1.25% ROI29% Win rate · n=900
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$13.77M
Top 5 winning markets
- +$1.00MWill Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?Sports · No
- +$879.5KWill RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-12?Sports · No
- +$751.9KWill Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-22?Sports · No
- +$714.4KWill RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-18?Sports · Yes
- +$693.7KWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?Sports · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$279.3KTrail Blazers vs. TimberwolvesSports · Timberwolves
- -$267.5KSpread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)Sports · Michigan Wolverines
- -$197.8KNew York Yankees vs. San Francisco GiantsSports · San Francisco Giants
- -$192.1KSpread: Warriors (-7.5)Sports · Wizards
- -$190.8KSpread: Spurs (-17.5)Sports · Bucks
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 1835 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$22.23M). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$1.85MVerified lifetime PnL
$2.61MBelow board-day sum
11Days on board
$4.46MBoard-day sum
—7-day PnL
—30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 2 | $562K |
| 2026-04 | 9 | $3.90M |
Which boards
Sports 11All markets 9
Method breakdown
Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
visible rebate $59K (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$59K
Maker rebate$59K
Taker rebate$0
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-03-15 → 2026-04-24
Profit composition
Net negative (window)
Trade cash$0
Rebate$0
Net total$0
Window2026-10-05 → 2026-11-04
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$4.46M
Verified lifetime PnL$1.85M
Verification gap-$2.61M
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)