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← All boardsLeclerc04
0x38cf9743eb70188664d388d84d4aa4c6f40fd885
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 23% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 23%Verified PnL#475 of 624
Beats 42%30-day PnL#340 of 594
Beats 26%Win rate#438 of 592
Beats 8%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#569 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board8
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-09-12
Last seen2026-10-11
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$4K
Verified lifetime PnL
$243KVolume
51%Win rate (sample) · n=394
-1.12%PnL ÷ Volume
$1K7-day PnL
$3K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$3,761
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $1,596only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$151partial
Liquidity rewards$0
1.55% ROI51% Win rate · n=394
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Weather +$7,319 · loses the most in Culture -$4,152
Top 5 winning markets
- +$2,259Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 13?Weather · Yes
- +$1,699Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 22?Weather · No / Yes
- +$1,281Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Politics · No
- +$755Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Weather · No
- +$746Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?Culture · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$2,023Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Culture · Yes
- -$1,922Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?Culture · No
- -$1,148Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026?Culture · No
- -$907Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics · No
- -$686Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 26?Weather · Yes / No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$4KVerified lifetime PnL
$968Earned off the board
8Days on board
$3KBoard-day sum
$1K7-day PnL
$3K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09 | 6 | $959 |
| 2026-10 | 2 | $2K |
Which boards
Weather 4Politics 2Tech 2Culture 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
0% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $151 (0% maker / 100% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
aggressive (taker)
Passive ratio0%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$151
Maker rebate$0
Taker rebate$151
Maker share0%
Taker share100%
Window2026-09-03 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$3K
Verified lifetime PnL$4K
Verification gap$968
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)