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← All boardslirio123
0x3b3d4f86900c50deb73f6786c82385f80e25b162
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 51% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 51%Verified PnL#305 of 624
Beats 81%30-day PnL#108 of 594
Beats 93%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#40 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board13
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-07-16
Last seen2026-08-12
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$53K
Verified lifetime PnL
$1.03MVolume
62.5%Win rate · n=8
5.18%PnL ÷ Volume
$79K7-day PnL
$79K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$53.5K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $207only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$53partial
Liquidity rewards$323
5.18% ROI20.8% Win rate · n=24
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$74.7K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$88.0KWill Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics · Yes
- +$1,148Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?Politics · Yes
- +$1,072Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?Politics · Yes
- +$1,033Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Morocco?Sports · Yes
- +$4.81Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$7,034Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics · Yes
- -$5,055Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics · Yes
- -$3,390Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Politics · No
Covers all 8 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$53KVerified lifetime PnL
$48KEarned off the board
13Days on board
$5KBoard-day sum
$79K7-day PnL
$79K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | 8 | $4K |
| 2026-08 | 5 | $1K |
Which boards
Politics 13
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
93% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $53 (76% maker / 24% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio93%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-27
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$53
Maker rebate$40
Taker rebate$13
Maker share76%
Taker share24%
Window2026-06-27 → 2026-10-11
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$5K
Verified lifetime PnL$53K
Verification gap$48K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)