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0x3c8ac6a99d9c7a41860aec2ae7520c7aaa68b45a
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 60% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 60%Verified PnL#248 of 624
Beats 45%30-day PnL#325 of 594
Beats 97%Win rate#18 of 592
Beats 91%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#51 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board47
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-28
Last seen2026-09-23
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$98K
Verified lifetime PnL
$2.32MVolume
97.7%Win rate · n=43
4.22%PnL ÷ Volume
$9477-day PnL
$4K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$97.8K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $133only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)none seenpartial
Liquidity rewards$230
4.22% ROI97.7% Win rate · n=43
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$86.8K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$31.7KWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?Politics · No
- +$16.6KWill China invade Taiwan in 2024?Politics · No
- +$14.5KWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics · No
- +$14.5KXi Jinping out in 2025?Politics · No
- +$6,254Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Culture · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$11.7KWill a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?Politics · No
Covers all 43 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$98KVerified lifetime PnL
$71KEarned off the board
47Days on board
$26KBoard-day sum
$9477-day PnL
$4K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 2 | $2K |
| 2026-05 | 10 | $5K |
| 2026-06 | 10 | $9K |
| 2026-07 | 15 | $7K |
| 2026-08 | 5 | $1K |
| 2026-09 | 5 | $3K |
Which boards
Politics 42Culture 7
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
92% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate none in the activity feed
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio92%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-08-06
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
No visible rebate
Visible rebateNone seen
Window—
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$26K
Verified lifetime PnL$98K
Verification gap$71K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)