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← All boards50Whence
0x3cf3e8d5427aed066a7a5926980600f6c3cf87b3
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 76% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 76%Verified PnL#146 of 624
Beats 16%Win rate#491 of 592
Beats 27%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#448 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board20
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-07-03
Last seen2026-09-21
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$317K
Verified lifetime PnL
$172.89MVolume
45.1%Win rate (sample) · n=399
0.18%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$317.1K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid$0only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)none seenpartial
Liquidity rewards$281.4K
0.18% ROI45.1% Win rate · n=399
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$91.4K · loses the most in Culture -$6,564
Top 5 winning markets
- +$396.4KWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Politics · Yes
- +$78.3KWill Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Politics · Yes
- +$63.3KWill Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Politics · No / Yes
- +$50.2KWill either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?Politics · Yes / No
- +$47.7KIsrael military response against Iran in October?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$213.6KWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Politics · No / Yes
- -$89.6KWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Politics · Yes / No
- -$78.2KWill Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Politics · Yes / No
- -$71.4KKamala Harris wins the popular vote?Politics · Yes / No
- -$68.3K2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D HousePolitics · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$317KVerified lifetime PnL
$314KEarned off the board
20Days on board
$3KBoard-day sum
—7-day PnL
—30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | 5 | $791 |
| 2026-08 | 10 | $2K |
| 2026-09 | 5 | $791 |
Which boards
Politics 10Sports 6Crypto 4
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
93% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate none in the activity feed
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio93%
Fills measured500
Window ends2025-07-09
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
No visible rebate
Visible rebateNone seen
Window—
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$3K
Verified lifetime PnL$317K
Verification gap$314K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)