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← All boardsedenmoon
0x3d1ecf16942939b3603c2539a406514a40b504d0
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 94% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 94%Verified PnL#37 of 624
Beats 66%Win rate#197 of 592
Beats 99%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#5 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board5
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-18
Last seen2026-07-13
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$1.69M
Verified lifetime PnL
$7.08MVolume
72.7%Win rate · n=22
23.90%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$1.69M
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $179only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$268partial
Liquidity rewards$161
23.9% ROI69.6% Win rate · n=23
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$1.83M · loses the most in Sports -$67.5K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$995.6KWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Politics · Yes
- +$794.0KWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Politics · No / Yes
- +$48.5KWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics · Yes
- +$16.1KWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?Sports · Yes
- +$11.2KWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-25?Sports · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$98.0KWill Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Sports · Yes
- -$29.7KWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?Politics · Yes
- -$18.0KFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Finance · Yes
- -$10.0KWill Trump launch a coin before the election?Crypto · No
- -$2,753Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?Finance · No
Covers all 22 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$1.69MVerified lifetime PnL
$1.69MEarned off the board
5Days on board
$5KBoard-day sum
—7-day PnL
—30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 1 | $298 |
| 2026-06 | 2 | $2K |
| 2026-07 | 2 | $2K |
Which boards
Sports 4Politics 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
100% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $268 (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio100%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-05-21
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$268
Maker rebate$268
Taker rebate$0
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-05-19 → 2026-05-22
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$5K
Verified lifetime PnL$1.69M
Verification gap$1.69M
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)