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0x3d50d49babadb8fb3e44485fa05c2604c90e713d
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 46% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 46%Verified PnL#333 of 624
#1Return (PnL ÷ volume)#1 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board15
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-03
Last seen2026-06-09
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$42K
Verified lifetime PnL
$66KVolume
66.7%Win rate · n=3
63.43%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$41.8K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $448only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$14partial
Liquidity rewards$2
63.4% ROI— Win rate · n=4
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Tech & science +$41.8K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$40.0KWill Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- +$2,010Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?Tech & science · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$192Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?Tech & science · Yes
Covers all 3 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$42KVerified lifetime PnL
$26KEarned off the board
15Days on board
$16KBoard-day sum
—7-day PnL
—30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 9 | $4K |
| 2026-06 | 6 | $12K |
Which boards
Tech 15
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
33% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $14 (0% maker / 100% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly aggressive
Passive ratio33%
Fills measured96
Window ends2026-06-08
Window scope40 days
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$14
Maker rebate$0
Taker rebate$14
Maker share0%
Taker share100%
Window2026-07-09 → 2026-07-09
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$16K
Verified lifetime PnL$42K
Verification gap$26K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)