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0x3d60a4dcf361d6eed01bfadd0c6cfc2ac8866df2
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 15% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 15%Verified PnL#527 of 624
Beats 26%30-day PnL#438 of 594
Beats 87%Win rate#74 of 592
Beats 9%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#559 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board6
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-06-10
Last seen2026-08-17
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$3K
Verified lifetime PnL
$338KVolume
87.3%Win rate (sample) · n=400
-0.85%PnL ÷ Volume
-$1767-day PnL
-$19530-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$2,866
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $200only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$40partial
Liquidity rewards$0
-0.85% ROI40% Win rate · n=872
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$3,277 · loses the most in Crypto -$660
Top 5 winning markets
- +$126Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5?Crypto · No
- +$109NBA Summer League: Utah Jazz vs. LA ClippersSports · LA Clippers
- +$101Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierSports · 100 Thieves
- +$91.22Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1Sports · FlyQuest
- +$85.66US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$65.52US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Politics · No
- -$64.82Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?Crypto · Yes
- -$62.26US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Politics · No
- -$61.68Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierSports · Gentle Mates
- -$61.09Indiana Fever vs. New York LibertySports · Indiana Fever
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$3KVerified lifetime PnL
$3KBelow board-day sum
6Days on board
$199Board-day sum
-$1767-day PnL
-$19530-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 2 | $23 |
| 2026-07 | 3 | $169 |
| 2026-08 | 1 | $7 |
Which boards
Sports 4Mentions 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
0% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $40 (0% maker / 100% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
unknown (methods disagree)
Passive ratio0%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-11-01
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$40
Maker rebate$0
Taker rebate$40
Maker share0%
Taker share100%
Window2026-06-20 → 2026-07-09
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$199
Verified lifetime PnL-$3K
Verification gap-$3K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)