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0x3eedf40fc4b73cf145b6e5e35d7c6ca645e4cb2a
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 8% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 8%Verified PnL#571 of 624
Beats 56%30-day PnL#256 of 594
Beats 66%Win rate#199 of 592
Beats 3%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#597 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board33
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-06
Last seen2026-09-11
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$80K
Verified lifetime PnL
$3.65MVolume
72.4%Win rate · n=210
-2.19%PnL ÷ Volume
$4K7-day PnL
$10K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$79.9K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $387only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$839partial
Liquidity rewards$11.6K
-2.19% ROI63.6% Win rate · n=239
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$5,455 · loses the most in Politics -$74.1K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$7,857 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics · No / Yes
- +$3,938US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Politics · No
- +$2,862Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$2,754Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Politics · No
- +$2,213Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Finance · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$26.7KKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Politics · No
- -$25.3KUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Politics · Yes / No
- -$20.0KUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics · Yes / No
- -$11.2KUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Politics · Yes / No
- -$10.2KKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Politics · Yes / No
Covers the 216 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$80KVerified lifetime PnL
$103KBelow board-day sum
33Days on board
$23KBoard-day sum
$4K7-day PnL
$10K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 11 | $18K |
| 2026-06 | 11 | $3K |
| 2026-07 | 6 | $1K |
| 2026-08 | 2 | $57 |
| 2026-09 | 3 | $148 |
Which boards
Politics 25Finance 4Crypto 2Culture 1Sports 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
97% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $839 (99% maker / 1% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio97%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-31
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$839
Maker rebate$829
Taker rebate$9
Maker share99%
Taker share1%
Window2026-06-12 → 2026-11-01
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$23K
Verified lifetime PnL-$80K
Verification gap-$103K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)