ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
tiger5510
0x3f2d1a7e0758d8c57fe4d9678c023b4120402adc
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 19% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
At a glance
-$3K
Verified lifetime PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Weather +$43.01 · loses the most in Politics -$2,704
Top 5 winning markets
- +$223Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Finance · No
- +$219Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics · Yes
- +$210Fed rate hike in 2026?Finance · Yes / No
- +$183No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027Politics · Yes / No
- +$160Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$462Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
- -$388Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics · Yes
- -$371Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics · Yes
- -$332Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics · Yes
- -$291Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?Culture · No
Covers all 186 closed positions this wallet has. Includes 3 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$580). Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 1 | $79 |
| 2026-07 | 2 | $90 |
| 2026-08 | 1 | $18 |
| 2026-09 | 2 | $65 |
Which boards
Method breakdown
No method layer measured yet for this address.
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Trade on Polymarket
If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.
Open Polymarket View this trader on PolymarketAffiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.
Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)