ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
rosyprosperity
0x40a75b220015685d7c9f67f3f25836fe359091c9
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 22% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
At a glance
-$512
Verified lifetime PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$99.97 · loses the most in Tech & science -$206
Top 5 winning markets
- +$123Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Politics · Yes
- +$119Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- +$55.27Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Finance · Yes
- +$31.27Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- +$6.08Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Finance · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$264Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- -$80Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
- -$65.18Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- -$60Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
- -$42Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
Covers all 17 closed positions this wallet has. Includes 9 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$575). Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 3 | $1K |
| 2026-07 | 1 | $152 |
| 2026-08 | 4 | $401 |
| 2026-09 | 2 | $92 |
Which boards
Method breakdown
Measured layers
78% passive fills in the recent window
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Trade on Polymarket
If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.
Open Polymarket View this trader on PolymarketAffiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.
Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)