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0x41e2e1ccf1e4940029af02259a31c6b89b9fa354
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 49% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 49%Verified PnL#316 of 624
Beats 86%30-day PnL#79 of 594
Beats 23%Win rate#452 of 592
Beats 31%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#427 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board31
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-08-09
Last seen2026-10-01
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$48K
Verified lifetime PnL
$22.38MVolume
49.5%Win rate (sample) · n=400
0.28%PnL ÷ Volume
$3247-day PnL
$132K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$48.4K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $436only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$91.5Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$0
0.22% ROI36.5% Win rate · n=584
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
No category in profit; worst is Crypto -$382
Top 5 winning markets
- +$1,191Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETCrypto · Down
- +$1,144Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ETCrypto · Up
- +$1,137Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETCrypto · Up
- +$1,134Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETCrypto · Up
- +$1,130Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETCrypto · Up
Top 5 losing markets
- -$1,227Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETCrypto · Up
- -$1,226Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETCrypto · Down
- -$1,163Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETCrypto · Down
- -$1,131Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETCrypto · Down
- -$1,123Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETCrypto · Up
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$48KVerified lifetime PnL
$37KEarned off the board
31Days on board
$12KBoard-day sum
$3247-day PnL
$132K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08 | 14 | $1K |
| 2026-09 | 16 | $4K |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $6K |
Which boards
Crypto 31
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
9% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $92K (10% maker / 90% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
aggressive (taker)
Passive ratio9%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$92K
Maker rebate$9K
Taker rebate$82K
Maker share10%
Taker share90%
Window2026-08-10 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
Insufficient data
Trade cash$2.51M
Rebate$75K
Net total$2.59M
Window2026-09-12 → 2026-10-12
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$12K
Verified lifetime PnL$48K
Verification gap$37K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)