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Chungvicular
0x41eacf5aaa4c7fc883a098635b981050715d7a3d
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 52% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 52%Verified PnL#555 of 1156
Beats 23%Win rate#741 of 963
Beats 57%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#427 of 1000
Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board54
Archive span207 days
First seen2026-04-28
Last seen2026-09-18
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$37K
Verified lifetime PnL
$3.26MVolume
51.9%Win rate · n=162
1.10%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$36.6K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $231only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)—
Liquidity rewards$3,514
1.12% ROI50.3% Win rate · n=167
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$42.4K · loses the most in Finance -$7,845
Top 5 winning markets
- +$22.2K2026 U.S. Senate Election: Democrats flip Republicans by March 31?Politics · Yes / No
- +$7,247Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Politics · Yes
- +$5,751Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Politics · Yes
- +$5,553Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?Politics · Yes / No
- +$4,5962026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 50% by March 31?Politics · Yes / No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$8,562Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics · Yes / No
- -$6,713Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics · Yes
- -$6,137Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics · No
- -$4,962Zohran Mamdani ParlayPolitics · Yes
- -$4,875Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Finance · No / Yes
Covers the 227 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 5 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$2,037). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$37KVerified lifetime PnL
$15KEarned off the board
54Days on board
$21KBoard-day sum
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | $126 |
| 2026-05 | 14 | $9K |
| 2026-06 | 7 | $6K |
| 2026-07 | 13 | $3K |
| 2026-08 | 11 | $3K |
| 2026-09 | 8 | $809 |
Which boards
Politics 37Sports 13Culture 6Finance 4
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesnot measured yet
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
95% passive fills in the recent window
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio95%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-29
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$21K
Verified lifetime PnL$37K
Verification gap$15K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)