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grapygroyp
0x41f34763a4cca3681d05024b8a23ec883b3b6202
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 27% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
At a glance
$3K
Verified lifetime PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$2,753 · loses the most in Sports -$103
Top 5 winning markets
- +$2,981Iran strike on US military by February 28?Politics · Yes
- +$700US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$400Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$160Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$1.47Will Palermo FC win on 2025-12-27?Sports · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$932Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Politics · Yes
- -$116Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?Politics · Yes
- -$100Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Sports · Yes
- -$100Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Politics · Yes
- -$97.8Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics · Yes
Covers all 20 closed positions this wallet has. Includes 12 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$1,591). Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 6 | $2K |
| 2026-05 | 4 | $2K |
| 2026-06 | 7 | $2K |
| 2026-07 | 4 | $694 |
| 2026-08 | 3 | $416 |
| 2026-09 | 2 | $416 |
Which boards
Method breakdown
No method layer measured yet for this address.
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Overstated
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)