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0x424eb20f…

0x424eb20fcd25113e3b98f42522a54580350b263b

Site-wide rank

Verified PnL beats 78% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.

Beats 78%Verified PnL#253 of 1156

Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.

Days on board63
Archive span207 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-09-21
VerdictHolds up

At a glance

$232K

Verified lifetime PnL

2026-04 2026-09

Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.

Loading official book…

Loading how it makes money…

Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05

Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$231.7K

For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again

Trading fees paid≥ $67only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)—
Liquidity rewards$11
— ROI— Win rate

Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.

Trading styleShort-cycle specialist100% of last 500 fills (over 5.6 h) are 5/15-min or hourly marketsMostly taker93% of 500 archived fills were taker fillsHolds to settlementSells are only 0% of turnover in the last 500 fills (over 5.6 h)Mainly crypto100% of last 500 fills (over 5.6 h) are crypto marketsRead from recent fills; hover a tag for the numbers. A profile, not a signal to copy.

What it trades and where the money comes from

Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.

No category in profit; worst is Sports -$22.3K

Crypto17 pos.-$2,417
Sports383 pos.-$22.3K

Top 5 winning markets

  1. +$2,594Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Sports · Knicks
  2. +$2,500Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Sports · Under
  3. +$2,466Washington Nationals vs. Arizona DiamondbacksSports · Arizona Diamondbacks
  4. +$2,450San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Sports · Over
  5. +$2,450Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Sports · Under

Top 5 losing markets

  1. -$5,325Cleveland Guardians vs. New York YankeesSports · New York Yankees
  2. -$4,175Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Sports · Thunder
  3. -$3,875Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Sports · Thunder
  4. -$3,800Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Sports · Canadiens
  5. -$3,444Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja ChwalinskaSports · Anna Kalinskaya

Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05

Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →

$232KVerified lifetime PnL
$177KEarned off the board
63Days on board
$54KBoard-day sum

Month by month

MonthDays on a boardSummed PnL
2026-04 5 $7K
2026-05 23 $36K
2026-06 16 $8K
2026-07 8 $1K
2026-08 4 $762
2026-09 7 $908

Which boards

Crypto 51Sports 25

Method breakdown

Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesnot measured yet
Profit compositionnot measured yet

Measured layers

7% passive fills in the recent window

Compare with another wallet

Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.

Execution style

aggressive (taker)

Passive ratio7%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-11
Window scopeMost recent

Visible rebates

Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.

Profit composition

No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.

Verification check

Holds up

Board-day sum$54K
Verified lifetime PnL$232K
Verification gap$177K

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Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)