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traderoffical
0x42811a04202d471323a87c33885677187aff1a5a
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 11% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 11%Verified PnL#1024 of 1156
Beats 90%Win rate#92 of 963
Beats 7%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#927 of 1000
Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board16
Archive span207 days
First seen2026-07-10
Last seen2026-09-21
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$38K
Verified lifetime PnL
$2.48MVolume
92.5%Win rate (sample) · n=400
-1.51%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$38.4K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $352only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)—
Liquidity rewards$1,481
-1.55% ROI41.2% Win rate · n=898
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Crypto +$33.3K · loses the most in Politics -$1,911
Top 5 winning markets
- +$2,732Texas Rangers vs. Arizona DiamondbacksSports · Arizona Diamondbacks
- +$1,341Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETCrypto · Down
- +$1,296Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETCrypto · Up
- +$1,148US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Maya JointSports · Elina Svitolina
- +$1,114Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETCrypto · Down
Top 5 losing markets
- -$2,486Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETCrypto · Down
- -$2,379Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETCrypto · Up
- -$2,168Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETCrypto · Up / Down
- -$1,680Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5Sports · Over / Under
- -$1,609Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Sports · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 2279 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$199.6K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
-$38KVerified lifetime PnL
$42KBelow board-day sum
16Days on board
$3KBoard-day sum
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | 2 | $182 |
| 2026-08 | 5 | $1K |
| 2026-09 | 9 | $2K |
Which boards
Sports 9Crypto 7
Method breakdown
No method layer measured yet for this address.
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$3K
Verified lifetime PnL-$38K
Verification gap-$42K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)