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0x42c03b2a749674035741356945f9e2e6bcf4b200
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 14% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 14%Verified PnL#536 of 624
Beats 18%30-day PnL#483 of 594
Beats 58%Win rate#244 of 592
Beats 1%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#610 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board16
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-07-24
Last seen2026-10-09
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$7K
Verified lifetime PnL
$163KVolume
68.8%Win rate (sample) · n=400
-4.65%PnL ÷ Volume
-$3657-day PnL
-$2K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$7,369
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $176only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$124partial
Liquidity rewards$3,162
-4.53% ROI32% Win rate · n=860
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$6,296 · loses the most in Tech & science -$952
Top 5 winning markets
- +$426Colorado Rockies vs. Detroit TigersSports · Detroit Tigers
- +$389Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?Politics · No
- +$375Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Sports · Kansas City Royals
- +$357Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego PadresSports · San Diego Padres
- +$253Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Sports · Pittsburgh Pirates
Top 5 losing markets
- -$544Will Trump say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during his Midterm Rally in New York?Politics · Yes
- -$538Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland GuardiansSports · Tampa Bay Rays / Cleveland Guardians
- -$488Will Costco say "GLP-1" or "GLP 1" during earnings call?Tech & science · No
- -$463Will Costco say "Labor" during earnings call?Tech & science · No
- -$280Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?Politics · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$7KVerified lifetime PnL
$8KBelow board-day sum
16Days on board
$913Board-day sum
-$3657-day PnL
-$2K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | 1 | $23 |
| 2026-08 | 5 | $402 |
| 2026-09 | 8 | $223 |
| 2026-10 | 2 | $265 |
Which boards
Sports 11Mentions 4Weather 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
90% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $124 (90% maker / 10% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio90%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-28
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$124
Maker rebate$111
Taker rebate$12
Maker share90%
Taker share10%
Window2026-08-17 → 2026-10-23
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$913
Verified lifetime PnL-$7K
Verification gap-$8K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)