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0x43cb4ae1f4ddc9e671486c79c9f40a6fd98b84df
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 53% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 53%Verified PnL#291 of 624
Beats 73%30-day PnL#158 of 594
Beats 31%Win rate#403 of 592
Beats 36%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#394 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board55
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-03-24
Last seen2026-11-01
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$64K
Verified lifetime PnL
$12.98MVolume
53.4%Win rate (sample) · n=382
0.47%PnL ÷ Volume
-$16K7-day PnL
$37K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$63.5K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $573only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$3,925partial
Liquidity rewards$781
0.49% ROI24.2% Win rate · n=844
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Culture +$329.6K · loses the most in Crypto -$2,751
Top 5 winning markets
- +$35.7KWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$26.7KWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$21.1KWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Politics · Yes
- +$16.8KWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$16.1KWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Tech & science · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$9,513LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSISports · Gen.G
- -$6,919Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics · No / Yes
- -$5,245Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports · Yes
- -$4,669Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?Culture · Yes
- -$4,567Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?Tech & science · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$64KVerified lifetime PnL
$53KEarned off the board
55Days on board
$10KBoard-day sum
-$16K7-day PnL
$37K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 1 | $1K |
| 2026-06 | 11 | $2K |
| 2026-07 | 22 | $5K |
| 2026-08 | 10 | $355 |
| 2026-09 | 8 | $381 |
| 2026-10 | 2 | $880 |
| 2026-11 | 1 | $544 |
Which boards
Tech 22Weather 17Finance 11Sports 10Culture 5Politics 3
Method breakdown
Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
visible rebate $4K (43% maker / 57% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$4K
Maker rebate$2K
Taker rebate$2K
Maker share43%
Taker share57%
Window2026-03-31 → 2026-10-27
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$10K
Verified lifetime PnL$64K
Verification gap$53K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)