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Loyalty-Crash
0x44d9200a6b0106d041f9460fa84d054736c14c1a
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 65% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 65%Verified PnL#388 of 1130
Beats 79%30-day PnL#170 of 810
Beats 27%Win rate#673 of 928
Beats 93%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#63 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board19
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-05-02
Last seen2026-09-17
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$90K
Verified lifetime PnL
$1.52MVolume
53.7%Win rate · n=175
5.93%PnL ÷ Volume
$65K7-day PnL
$66K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$90.1K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $1,067only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$173partial
Liquidity rewards$416
5.93% ROI51.6% Win rate · n=182
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$138.0K · loses the most in Other -$14.4K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$28.0KWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Politics · Yes
- +$27.3KWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Politics · Yes
- +$22.5KTrump wins every swing state?Politics · Yes
- +$18.7KWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Politics · No
- +$14.9KWill the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$15.9KWhich party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?Other · Republican
- -$15.5KWill Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Politics · Yes
- -$7,310Biden drops out of presidential race?Politics · No
- -$7,091Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Politics · No
- -$5,065Senate: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Masters) win in Arizona?Other · Republican
Covers all 191 closed positions this wallet has. Includes 7 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$14.8K). Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$90KVerified lifetime PnL
$83KEarned off the board
19Days on board
$7KBoard-day sum
$65K7-day PnL
$66K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 6 | $4K |
| 2026-06 | 3 | $1K |
| 2026-07 | 5 | $846 |
| 2026-08 | 4 | $1K |
| 2026-09 | 1 | $130 |
Which boards
Politics 19
Method breakdown
Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
visible rebate $173 (90% maker / 10% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$173
Maker rebate$155
Taker rebate$18
Maker share90%
Taker share10%
Window2026-05-05 → 2026-11-04
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$7K
Verified lifetime PnL$90K
Verification gap$83K
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)