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0x4526964246242015bfa78c294033565be6797a45
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 54% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 54%Verified PnL#286 of 624
Beats 24%30-day PnL#447 of 594
Beats 64%Win rate#208 of 592
Beats 82%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#108 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board29
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-27
Last seen2026-09-12
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$67K
Verified lifetime PnL
$2.43MVolume
71.5%Win rate (sample) · n=397
2.72%PnL ÷ Volume
$9607-day PnL
-$33530-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$66.8K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $134only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$250partial
Liquidity rewards$1,558
2.75% ROI71% Win rate · n=400
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Culture +$16.3K · loses the most in Sports -$3,482
Top 5 winning markets
- +$3,736Israel strike on Iran on June 24?Politics · Yes
- +$3,130Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Sports · No
- +$2,533Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$2,392Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture · No / Yes
- +$2,348US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics · Yes / No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$4,640UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Sports · Conor McGregor
- -$4,095Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Sports · No
- -$3,750Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International PlayoffsSports · Team Liquid
- -$2,127Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by July 15?Politics · No
- -$2,060Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Politics · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$67KVerified lifetime PnL
$61KEarned off the board
29Days on board
$5KBoard-day sum
$9607-day PnL
-$33530-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | $498 |
| 2026-06 | 4 | $2K |
| 2026-07 | 16 | $2K |
| 2026-08 | 6 | $510 |
| 2026-09 | 2 | $75 |
Which boards
Politics 16Sports 12Culture 3Finance 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
97% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $250 (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio97%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-24
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$250
Maker rebate$250
Taker rebate$0
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-04-27 → 2026-10-03
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$5K
Verified lifetime PnL$67K
Verification gap$61K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)