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Hongweiqian

0x462d515e957253d2fa79a1f808e6e99eb2eece9b

Site-wide rank

Verified PnL beats 11% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.

Beats 11%Verified PnL#1022 of 1156

Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.

Days on board13
Archive span207 days
First seen2026-04-27
Last seen2026-07-10
VerdictNet negative

At a glance

-$36K

Verified lifetime PnL

2026-04 2026-07

Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.

Loading official book…

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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05

Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$36.0K

For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again

Trading fees paid≥ $2,549only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)—
Liquidity rewards$8
— ROI— Win rate

Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.

Trading styleShort-cycle specialist84% of last 500 fills (over 2.3 days) are 5/15-min or hourly marketsHolds to settlementSells are only 7% of turnover in the last 500 fills (over 2.3 days)Mid-price trader87% of 376 buys between 35¢ and 65¢Mainly crypto84% of last 500 fills (over 2.3 days) are crypto marketsRead from recent fills; hover a tag for the numbers. A profile, not a signal to copy.

What it trades and where the money comes from

Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.

Makes the most in Sports +$522.9K

Sports340 pos.+$522.9K
Crypto57 pos.+$32.6K
Politics3 pos.+$1,292

Top 5 winning markets

  1. +$22.6KSpread: Knicks (-9.5)Sports · Knicks
  2. +$13.6KSpread: France (-1.5)Sports · France
  3. +$11.3KLoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group StageSports · LYON
  4. +$11.2KLoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters PlayoffsSports · Dplus KIA Challengers
  5. +$11.1KLoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsSports · JD Gaming

Top 5 losing markets

  1. -$10.6KSpread: Uruguay (-1.5)Sports · Uruguay
  2. -$7,624Chiefs vs. CowboysSports · Chiefs
  3. -$7,168Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETCrypto · Down
  4. -$6,818Knicks vs. MagicSports · Knicks
  5. -$6,063Bulls vs. PacersSports · Bulls

Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 227 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$704.9K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05

Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →

-$36KVerified lifetime PnL
$128KBelow board-day sum
13Days on board
$92KBoard-day sum

Month by month

MonthDays on a boardSummed PnL
2026-04 1 $805
2026-05 7 $62K
2026-06 4 $23K
2026-07 1 $6K

Which boards

Sports 13

Method breakdown

No method layer measured yet for this address.

Compare with another wallet

Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.

Execution style

Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.

Visible rebates

Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.

Profit composition

No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.

Verification check

Net negative

Board-day sum$92K
Verified lifetime PnL-$36K
Verification gap-$128K

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Affiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.

Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)