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QIAOmain
0x46f660832a2cb12ce00885e57a7e4c8f130cb9d6
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 25% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 25%Verified PnL#863 of 1156
Beats 49%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#505 of 1000
Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board16
Archive span207 days
First seen2026-05-05
Last seen2026-09-03
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$287
Verified lifetime PnL
$35KVolume
75%Win rate · n=8
0.83%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$287
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid$85
Rebates (maker + taker)—
Liquidity rewards$0
0.83% ROI— Win rate · n=8
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Finance +$287 · loses the most in Tech & science -$44.31
Top 5 winning markets
- +$689Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Tech & science · Yes
- +$254Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Finance · Yes
- +$95.33Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- +$94.67Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Politics · No
- +$80.69Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech & science · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$910Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Tech & science · Yes
- -$2.86Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Politics · Yes
Covers all 8 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$287Verified lifetime PnL
$1KBelow board-day sum
16Days on board
$2KBoard-day sum
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 8 | $1K |
| 2026-06 | 1 | $138 |
| 2026-07 | 6 | $366 |
| 2026-09 | 1 | $29 |
Which boards
Finance 12Tech 4
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesnot measured yet
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
0% passive fills in the recent window
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
unknown (methods disagree)
Passive ratio0%
Fills measured21
Window ends2026-08-06
Window scope214 days
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$2K
Verified lifetime PnL$287
Verification gap-$1K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)