ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
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0x476e1322d1a412fa0325527b8c3bc5e707b1396d
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 98% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 98%Verified PnL#12 of 624
Beats 99%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#2 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board5
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-06-30
Last seen2026-07-20
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$3.55M
Verified lifetime PnL
$8.01MVolume
73.3%Win rate · n=15
44.31%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$3.55M
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $10.8Konly the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$5,930partial
Liquidity rewards$184
44.3% ROI— Win rate · n=16
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$3.55M
Top 5 winning markets
- +$2.89MWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · Yes
- +$521.8KFrance vs. Spain: O/U 2.5Sports · Under
- +$105.5KWill Spain win on 2026-07-14?Sports · Yes
- +$101.3KEngland vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total CornersSports · Under
- +$44.8KFrance vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total CornersSports · Under
Top 5 losing markets
- -$99.9KCôte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5Sports · Under
- -$42.1KWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · Yes
- -$28.8KWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · Yes
- -$5,078Djurgardens IF vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 3.5Sports · Over
Covers all 15 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$3.55MVerified lifetime PnL
$3.52MEarned off the board
5Days on board
$29KBoard-day sum
—7-day PnL
—30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 1 | $707 |
| 2026-07 | 4 | $29K |
Which boards
Sports 5
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
97% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $6K (62% maker / 38% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Head-to-heads with other top wallets:
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio97%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-07-15
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$6K
Maker rebate$4K
Taker rebate$2K
Maker share62%
Taker share38%
Window2026-06-29 → 2026-07-16
Profit composition
Net negative (window)
Trade cash$0
Rebate$0
Net total$0
Window2026-09-30 → 2026-10-30
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$29K
Verified lifetime PnL$3.55M
Verification gap$3.52M
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)