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0x48185887c8dc95de60ee89722f1d0ee7894cbf0b
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 69% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 69%Verified PnL#193 of 624
Beats 66%30-day PnL#199 of 594
Beats 23%Win rate#456 of 592
Beats 29%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#439 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board38
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-29
Last seen2026-09-17
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$181K
Verified lifetime PnL
$77.91MVolume
49.4%Win rate (sample) · n=395
0.22%PnL ÷ Volume
$6K7-day PnL
$20K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$180.7K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $2,818only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$397partial
Liquidity rewards$17.8K
0.23% ROI33.9% Win rate · n=576
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Finance +$106.6K · loses the most in Culture -$105.4K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$529.8KNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?Finance · Yes / No
- +$319.7KNo change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Finance · Yes / No
- +$286.0KWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Politics · Yes / No
- +$110.3KFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Finance · Yes / No
- +$85.0KFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Politics · No / Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$180.0KFed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?Finance · Yes
- -$169.8KFed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?Finance · Yes
- -$163.4KFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Finance · Yes
- -$151.5KFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Finance · Yes / No
- -$127.1KWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?Culture · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$181KVerified lifetime PnL
$172KEarned off the board
38Days on board
$8KBoard-day sum
$6K7-day PnL
$20K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | $151 |
| 2026-05 | 13 | $3K |
| 2026-06 | 12 | $4K |
| 2026-07 | 7 | $1K |
| 2026-08 | 3 | $330 |
| 2026-09 | 2 | $316 |
Which boards
Crypto 21Sports 10Finance 8Politics 6
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
92% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $397 (90% maker / 10% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio92%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$397
Maker rebate$357
Taker rebate$40
Maker share90%
Taker share10%
Window2026-01-12 → 2026-10-10
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$8K
Verified lifetime PnL$181K
Verification gap$172K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)