ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
← All boardsAlexD87
0x482943e8126e83a63695cebde33a9498ee7497eb
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 28% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 28%Verified PnL#444 of 624
Beats 47%30-day PnL#314 of 594
Beats 83%Win rate#95 of 592
Beats 38%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#382 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board7
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-24
Last seen2026-09-16
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$9K
Verified lifetime PnL
$1.07MVolume
84.8%Win rate (sample) · n=400
0.54%PnL ÷ Volume
$7927-day PnL
$5K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$8,816
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $812only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$56partial
Liquidity rewards$1
0.82% ROI45.5% Win rate · n=745
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Weather +$9,690 · loses the most in Crypto -$647
Top 5 winning markets
- +$1,210Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 8?Weather · No
- +$644Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 18?Weather · Yes
- +$464Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 15?Weather · No
- +$453Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 11?Weather · Yes
- +$445Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 13?Weather · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$950Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 20?Weather · No
- -$496Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 8?Weather · No
- -$398Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on May 4?Weather · No
- -$397Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on May 21?Weather · No
- -$322Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on September 23?Weather · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$9KVerified lifetime PnL
$8KEarned off the board
7Days on board
$476Board-day sum
$7927-day PnL
$5K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 1 | $84 |
| 2026-06 | 1 | $84 |
| 2026-07 | 3 | $207 |
| 2026-09 | 2 | $101 |
Which boards
Weather 7
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
1% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $56 (8% maker / 92% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
aggressive (taker)
Passive ratio1%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-08
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$56
Maker rebate$5
Taker rebate$51
Maker share8%
Taker share92%
Window2026-01-20 → 2026-10-13
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$476
Verified lifetime PnL$9K
Verification gap$8K
Trade on Polymarket
If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.
Open Polymarket View this trader on PolymarketAffiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.
Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)