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heresjimmy
0x48afe8fbde091ff3e616901dc92ef20862c289cc
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 69% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 69%Verified PnL#348 of 1130
Beats 28%30-day PnL#581 of 810
Beats 83%Win rate#158 of 928
Beats 90%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#90 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board21
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-08-12
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$111K
Verified lifetime PnL
$2.42MVolume
85.6%Win rate · n=236
4.60%PnL ÷ Volume
-$5097-day PnL
$730-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$111.2K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $35only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)none seenpartial
Liquidity rewards$111
4.60% ROI52.2% Win rate · n=387
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$72.4K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$37.8KWill ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 8?Culture · Yes
- +$17.0KUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$10.5KWill Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech & science · No
- +$7,862Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Politics · Yes
- +$7,585Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$2,677Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Politics · Yes
- -$1,448Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?Culture · No / Yes
- -$1,308Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?Tech & science · No / Yes
- -$1,001Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours?Culture · Yes
- -$988Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?Politics · Yes
Covers the 237 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 151 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$28.6K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$111KVerified lifetime PnL
$107KEarned off the board
21Days on board
$4KBoard-day sum
-$5097-day PnL
$730-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 2 | $494 |
| 2026-05 | 7 | $1K |
| 2026-06 | 3 | $350 |
| 2026-07 | 8 | $2K |
| 2026-08 | 1 | $172 |
Which boards
Finance 11Politics 10
Method breakdown
Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
visible rebate none in the activity feed
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
No visible rebate
Visible rebateNone seen
Window—
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$4K
Verified lifetime PnL$111K
Verification gap$107K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)